Today we continue our study of the historical cycles suggesting a major crisis is in our near-term (5‒8 years) future. We don’t know the precise timing or nature of the crisis, but the patterns ...

Historian Peter Turchin predicted in 2012 that widespread violence would erupt worldwide sometime around the year 2020. His prediction was based on an area of research known as cliodynamics. Editor’s ...

The day Donald Trump was arraigned for unauthorized possession of national security documents — heightening his party’s attacks on the nation’s justice system — also saw the publication of Peter ...