The NFL’s conference championship field is mostly chalk. The Kansas City Chiefs (the No. 1 seed in the AFC), the Buffalo Bills (No. 2) and the Philadelphia Eagles (No. 2 in the NFC) are all featured Sunday.

Chris Simms and Mike Florio break down their favorite bets for NFL Conference Championship Weekend, including the Buffalo Bills and a rare over/under pick.

NFL picks are provided for straight up (moneyline) and against the spread (ATS) NFL pick pools. Each week's spread picks are graded by the line as of when the person entered their picks. This will create situations in which a movement of the line can result in two participants having the correct pick but with different teams chosen during an individual game.

The key in large-field DFS contests, as always, is to get away from the “chalk,” or players who will be widely rostered. That means gravitating toward less popular game situations, some of which I’ve highlighted below.

Simms and I are toe to toe. Face to face. If I stand on the hood of a car. I hold a one-game lead in a 282 picking competition. Three games remain. Two will be played, if you haven't heard, this weekend.